Published: 13 January 2020 at 15:58
ARU study finds that location and presence of weapon influence verdict of juries
New research has found that two factors – an outdoor location and the presence of a weapon – have a significant bearing on the verdict of juries in cases of child stranger rape.
The study, the first of its kind to focus on real jury verdicts in cases of child stranger rape in England and Wales, was led by Criminal Psychologist Dr Samantha Lundrigan, of Anglia Ruskin University (ARU), and the findings have been published in the journal Child Abuse and Neglect.
The researchers explored the factors that predict juries’ decisions to convict or acquit in 70 cases of child stranger rape in London between 2001-15. By better understanding exactly what can influence jury verdicts – 19 different factors relating to the child, the accused and the offense were examined – it is hoped to improve the chances of guilty defendants being convicted in future cases.
The study found that verdicts were predicted by two offense-related factors. The presence of a weapon increased the odds of conviction by 412% and an outdoor location increased the odds by 360%.
No evidence was found that indicated that factors relating to either the victim or the perpetrator, such as age and ethnicity, influenced jury verdicts. Furthermore, neither a delay in a child’s report nor a child’s use of alcohol or drugs appeared to affect the chances of securing a conviction.
The researchers believe that a possible explanation for the significant influence of the two offense-related factors is that juries in these cases might have held stereotypical beliefs about the most likely circumstances of stranger rape – commonly known as the “real” rape stereotype.
Dr Lundrigan, Director of the Policing Institute for the Eastern Region (PIER) at Anglia Ruskin University, said: